Michael's (zlabis) Journal [The Magician]

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immy
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Re: Michael's (zlabis) Journal [Featured Journal]

Unread post by immy »

Hi Zlabis

The biggest advantage of writing a journal is exactly this. You get the chance to reflect over things. You update it during times of relaxation. Your mind is relaxed and you can see the chart "objectively" a state of mind and perception process that you want to carry on and would love to posses during trading hours. An objective care free state of mind where nothing is filtered.

"The transition to M5 will not be easy", I kept warning you but everyone wanted it :) Well, one factor everyone would know already is that, it does requires slightly bigger stop loss per trade as compared to M5, but obviously with bigger potential gains. The gains are actually far bigger than m1 not only in pip wise but risk reward ratio wise as well and let me explain a bit why.

M1 is too fast and the waves do not last very long "time wise" and pip wise and hence the quick entry and exit which is good for part timers. However, you'd notice that m5 is more in tune with H1. And H1's usually have wave 3's that last 2-3 days. And when its a good up day on h1, m5 usually stays going and going in that direction all day. It is when h1 is doing a 4th wave when M5 does the 100 pip up and down zig zags. The reason that m5 keeps going in one direction for a few hours create "more opportunities" for us to make our winners even bigger

e.g. just imagine if you had taken the first breakout and added on 4 more times. As you may remember from the book this is our ultimate goal. WE want to excel to the level when we are able to add on upto 4 times after initial fruit entry. Now, compare that to m1, we will NEVER add on more than once or lets say 2 times (rarely happens for me) but on m5 we can go the full monty.

WE can aim to
1. add on 4 times plus the initial fruit and
2. once we have stayed consistently successful for 6 months, we can start using Reverse Pyramiding where we will then quadruple our results.

But whether its is good for the 2hr formula? I don't know. And this is a big question. As we discussed many a times in our skype conversations I do believe that M5 trades, the big ones, often require you to manage the trade all day or a few hrs. Today is the proof of that.

So we have two options/solutions for this question

1. Exit the trade where ever it is at end of the 2hr session. or
2. Automate trade management.

My 0.000002 paisa's worth!
What is the Secret of Successful Trading?
The Consistent Pursuit of DS1 :nerd

The thing that makes me money in trading is when I "Objectively Follow my Trading Plan".

I understand that I can't catch all the moves or all the signals but my objective is to catch THE VALID SIGNALS & ONLY the Valid Signals.

My Deathbed Advice "5:1 Reward to Risk Ratio".

Yo, banana boy! 🍌
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zlabis
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Re: Michael's (zlabis) Journal [Featured Journal]

Unread post by zlabis »

Thanks Immy for your effort supporting me. Yes you've warned me that switching to M5 is not that easy as it might seem. It feels differently, it affects me differently it has a different dynamic - with one statement: it is different. After my trading-bulls**t (3 major mistakes in one session of 2 hours ~x( ~x( ~x( ) I've produced today and feeling a big amount of discomfort, I have decided to switch to demo-account and do more simulation from tomorrow on until I have confidence and security with M5.

Thu. Mar 12, 2015

Screen time LO-session 8:45 - 11:00 (GMT+1) M5/H1 DAX only.

After this big up-trend from yesterday, it was rather clear that DAX will go in some sort of correction today what gave us chance to catch some nice up- and down-moves. The first down move was initiated with this good down-fruit at 8:15. As I wasen't trading until 8:45, I was able to take next opportunity at break of AIMS-box (T12.1). It was a good entry, IMHO, and I stayed disciplined with exit criteria (at green) so I survived the first big pullback. Then there followed a row of wrong decissions espacially with exits. Instaed of letting T12.1 run while taking long fruit (T12.2), I closed it. Entry into T12.3 after fruit had failed was ok again but I exited without signal ~x(

I was so angry and frustrated after another campaign with many trading mistakes, I haven't even noticed that nice reversal fruit at bottom of following up-move.

Today's result:
- 18.2 Pips instead of 100+ without those big mistakes ... f**k
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Re: Michael's (zlabis) Journal [Featured Journal]

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Fri. Mar 13, 2015

Screen time LO-session 8:30 - 11:00 (GMT+1) M5/H1 DAX only.

There was no time on Friday or at the weekend, so here is my late review of my Friday's trading sessions.

At LO DAX started into correction of last day's massive up-move but fortunately I've decided to trade on demo-account until I have my M5-trading under control - and it had turned out that it was a wise decission.

I got stuck in that correction and not exiting at that up-fruit at around 9:30am was no mistake, IMHO, because I wanted to let trade run.

I knew that I would have to rethink and ponder about my trading over the weekend and to rediscover my "easy" trading style which I already had on M1.

Today's result:
- 63.9 - 16.9 = - 80.8 Pips without mistakes. Only if market was tradeable could be questioned but IMHO it was ok.
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"Want what the market wants", Bill M. Williams in "Trading Chaos - Second edition"
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Re: Michael's (zlabis) Journal [Featured Journal]

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Result of week 11 - 09.03.-13.03.2015 - live M5/H1:

Mon. 09.03. + 54.0 Pips, 2.50 hrs
Tue. 10.03. + 30.4 Pips, 5.25 hrs
Wed. 11.03. -108.1 Pips, 4.50 hrs
Thu. 12.03. - 18.2 Pips, 2.25 hrs
Fri . 13.03. - 80.8 Pips, 2.50 hrs
------------------------------------
Result ...... -123.1 Pips, 17.00 hrs

I have to admit that this week was very difficult to me. I was not yet able to transfer my M1 success to M5 as planed for various reasons. Trading M5 is far more different than M1 than I've expected so I switched to demo account on Friday. I'll stick to it and will do further simulation and demo-trading until I feel as familiar with M5 as I do with M1.
Last edited by zlabis on 22 Mar 2015, 20:22, edited 1 time in total.
"Want what the market wants", Bill M. Williams in "Trading Chaos - Second edition"
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Re: Michael's (zlabis) Journal [Featured Journal]

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Mon. Mar 16, 2015

Screen time LO-session 8:45 - 11:00 (GMT+1) M5/H1 DAX only - Demo mode

Still on demo DAX started week with very nice up move after fruit and break-out setup.
Nothing more to say than screen-shot expresses.

Today's result:
+ 121.4 Pip with a small but costly mistake as I closed 1st add on very early.
I'm a bit undecided about it because on one hand it gave me confidence and comfort to keep init trade running and to add on second time but on the other hand it costed me a lot of pips
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Re: Michael's (zlabis) Journal [Featured Journal]

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Tue. Mar 17, 2015

Screen time LO-session 9:00 - 11:00 (GMT+1) M5/H1 DAX only - Demo mode

After 2 massive up-trend days, H1 indicated clearly that DAX will go into correction today. At LO it started with a rather big up- and down-spike where I collected 3 rents, which was not too bad because entries and exits were ok and I commited no mistakes.

Then a lively discussion in skype room started due to my recent switch from M1 to M5. Immy, Grant, Dave and Kyle who know my M1-trading progress from last 6 months and my time-limitation gave me reason to rethink my decission. But to be honest, it was already preaching to the converted. I felt there is and was something wrong with M5 to me because my available trading time is often very limited and as Immy always stated, M5 requires much more daily trading time to catch it's edge. This makes it very difficult to me to keep my trading-time limited to two hours a day. But if I trade more hours a day, I am going to disregard my real estate business, what I can't and don't want to afford yet.

My decission is to recant the switch to M5 and to stick to M1 with a time-limit of 2 hours a day like I used to do it from October to February. My idea is to plan my schedule around trading sessions or to skip a trading session if work can't be arranged outside trading time instead of switching to a higher timeframe. But I need to be undisturbed while trading as far as possible. That helps me to stay in tune with the market. This week I'll stick to demo and by next monday I'm going live with M1 again.

Btw, I missed this lovely down-move with entry at SAR-level of last fruit trade while I racked my brain about M5-M1 issue but I didn't care anymore. I was done for today. With these M5-trades I quit my M5 20 Trades series but I will start the first M1 20 Trades series by tomorrow.

Today's result:
- 17.7 - 20.4 - 3.8 = - 41.9 Pips rent, not too much for 3 rents in a correction period - and without mistakes.
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Re: Michael's (zlabis) Journal [Featured Journal]

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Wed. Mar 18, 2015

Screen time LO-session 9:00 - 11:00 (GMT+1) M1/M5 DAX only - Demo mode

Today I started trading M1 again. Until I'm confident again I'll stick to demo mode.

DAX behaved after LO as usual with a nice move after first break-out. This time it was actually a 70 Pips move in 5 minutes. Using exiting method of trailing red bars paid more than 40 Pips after an initial rent at an up-fruit.

After that I attempted 4 times witout success to catch the next bigger move and caught some smaller moves. At the time I had to quit, DAX was still in correction where I had to pay some rents.

Today's result:
Trade 1/20-1: -18.3
Trade 2/20-1: +41.3
Trade 3/20-1: -30.9
Trade 4/20-1: -14.2
Trade 5/20-1: -21.1
Trade 6/20-1: -27.9
Trade 7/20-1: +22.6
Trade 8/20-1: -16.3
Trade 9/20-1: +14.0
---------------------------
Result: ...... -50.8 Pips
Discipline score: 8.5 / 9 (0.5 deduction for one stretched rule)
Mistakes: 1 (not taking trade between Trade 5 and 6)
Streched rules: 1 (taking PC entry with fruit-like pinbar)

Although I haven't commited any mistakes with taken trades and only mistake was missing one breakout I was not in tune with market and probably took many not very good signals. Espacially as it was obvious that clear direction for LO session, watching at M5 and H1, was down-side, I should have been more focused on shorts. Had saved me some rents.

I think that last 3 week brought me out of shape a bit but I'm confident that shape will come back soon when I'm able to focus again. Will do some M1 simulation with FT2 for practise purpose as well.
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Last edited by zlabis on 19 Mar 2015, 17:53, edited 1 time in total.
"Want what the market wants", Bill M. Williams in "Trading Chaos - Second edition"
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Re: Michael's (zlabis) Journal [Featured Journal]

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Thu. Mar 19, 2015

Screen time LO-session 9:00 - 11:00 (GMT+1) M1/M5 DAX only - Demo mode

Today, server-time varies from CET of +1 hour. It's EET now (GMT+2) for the next week until daylight saving here as well on 29th of March.

DAX started moving strongly again, like a clock-work, at London open. This time with a short break-out down and, after a beautiful up-fruit, with a huge up-move which was called live in skype-room. Added on once (2nd add on was possible) and closed with trailing candles. I trailed candles because the DAX went up too fast too far without forming a fruit.

Today it felt easier to me not getting trapped inside correction but I've missed this great down-move as well. As I realized that it's a big down-move I didn't push to get in somehow - there was simply no proper signal to jump on the running train. During down-move, I've tried one counter-fruit (signal was ok but not best => down-momentum very strong) which failed and one a bit later which got invalid without having been triggered. Last attempt has worked out althoug I was not very sure about it but after 2 periods it gave me possibility to enter into open signal with momentum decreasing slightly and a smaller risk. It was a nice single-trade which I exited at down-fruit at good level.

Today I felt much more in tune with the market again and took trades a bit more selectively than I did recently.

Today's result:
Trade 10/20-1: +102.2
Trade 11/20-1: - 12.9
Trade 12/20-1: + 44.7
---------------------------
Result: ...... + 134.0 Pips
Discipline-Score: 3 / 3
Mistakes: 1 (not taking breakout-trade between Trade 10 and 11)
Streched rules: none

Discipline and technical execution were really ok but I have to take care, that my biased expectations are not blocking or altering my perception of information offered by market.
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"Want what the market wants", Bill M. Williams in "Trading Chaos - Second edition"
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Re: Michael's (zlabis) Journal [Featured Journal]

Unread post by Michal »

Michael is back !:) i see you took add on on this first fruit at london open :) i didnt because for me stop loss would be to big.well done worked out nice for you :)
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Re: Michael's (zlabis) Journal [Featured Journal]

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Michal wrote:Michael is back !:) i see you took add on on this first fruit at london open :) i didnt because for me stop loss would be to big.well done worked out nice for you :)
Thanks Michal.
Yes, DAX M1 seems to be my habitat ;-)

For the add on I placed the disaster stop loss below gator so it was ok for me.

Cheers ;-)
"Want what the market wants", Bill M. Williams in "Trading Chaos - Second edition"
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